Paolo Gentiloni, new EU Commissioner for tax and Economic Affairs VIDEO © EP European Union
London 29 Oct. 2019 - (updated 30 Oct) - The nearly unanimous vote in favour of General Elections on December 12th with 438 ayes and only 20 noes, marked the turning point for Labour to enter the fight in the political arena the party has avoided for months.
Ahead of the vote at Commons Corbyn promptly announced a massive campaign aimed at growing its current 22% in the polls, but no mentions about possible alliances with Lib Dems: their candidates in local constituencies are going on competing in stark opposition.
Labour has to face Tories' 37% (latest Yougov) meaning in order to become first party there's much to do and anyway a possible left coalition could be built in due course...
The chance for both leavers and remainers to express their will in a second referendum (i.e. People'sVote) now reconfirmed by Corbyn, will for sure move votes from Lib Dems to Labour while polarising votes on the extreme right (Farage- Brexit Party) in order for leavers to prevent remainers Conservatives to move the balance on the pro EU side.
This clear stance for a second referendum that Labour want after withdrawal Bill is passed (and, now, after general elections), gives Labour the competitive advantage of being the party of the 'reunification' of pro and anti EU fronts.
The choice of neutrality on Brexit has been an ambiguous policy that so far caused much troubles and resulted into the impossibility to go straightforward to the People's Vote. But neutrality itself now traces the path for an electoral revenge as moderate leavers might turn their backs on such a liar, unreliable and unpopular PM as Boris Johnson and remainers could choose to either vote LibDems or Labour because they anyway have the chance to express their views on Brexit in a second referendum.
If Corbyn's euroscepticism on the one hand raised criticism over the party's leadership, provoked the fury of remainers and estranged him from the EU Parliament's left groups, on the other hand it now turns handy: the long term strategy of party politics paid off. Therefore now also Labour, as well as the all the other opposition groups, is a valid choice for remainers, if we only take into account Brexit and not the other set of policies.
Given all this, on the side of the coherent remainer and People'sVote advocate LibDem there's much to do to conquer the hearts of voters. And here comes in the liberal stance, the way forward along the mediation between nationalisation and private sector, a just and fair labour market where competition is regulated and not eliminated. British working class' rights have been brutalised and social mobility has stopped not because EU citizens exist, but as a result of new British generations prevented from achieving skills by the programmatic unaffordable housing and bank-debt based tuition fees, this way they cannot compete with multilingual and internationalised graduates coming from Europe where degrees are cheap and in some countries even entirely free.
The politics of protection of the wealthy English elites and corporates/banks interests are reckless policies that Lib Dem backed when in coalition government with Cameron's Conservatives.
Now Lib Dems have to show the electorate they are ready to cancel and stop real estate speculation, high rents and many other reckless policies and secretive practices enacted by Tories in order to take control of the British society under the fake slogan 'take back control'.
The leadership of Jo Swinson (young, female, impactful speaker) will bring a new consensus to the party now at 19% in Yougov projection polls. But if the goal is long term democratic governability, a contest based on leadership taking advantage of Corbyn's unpopularity across certain strata of the society is not enough. A Lib Dem disruptive win is unlikely as well a Labour one. In the best case scenario both parties' gains should be put together.
With Tories at 37%, Labour (22%) is not prepared to ally with Lib Dems: now the party has the competitive advantage of Brexit neutrality